Yuliis Imel

Frank Parotore

Jesse Crocker

Pablo King

 

Economics 309, Spring 2003 (Prof. Hackett)

 

Prosperity Critique

 

            The North Coast Strategy for the New Economy otherwise known as Prosperity is an economic vision that incorporates the natural beauty and climate of Humboldt County as well as recognizing the small town feeling and eccentricity of the local people of towns such as Arcata.  This strategy is an attempt to increase various forms of capital without diminishing the most nonrenewable forms of capital.  This strategy includes making changes that can affect a local economy’s capacity to create wealth for local residents.  As with any economic development strategy, there are always going to be strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats, which this paper will address.

            Besides the obvious strengths that the Prosperity Strategy is providing, such as a higher quality of life, scenic beauty, protecting natural resources, and increasing tourism revenue, there are some strengths that may be more beneficial to the economy than others.  Through base industry clusters, we help ensure promising economic vitality for local businesses.  This is a very efficient way to build a strong economy.  By creating these clusters, businesses will be better able to find valuable resources and inputs at a local level, while helping to attract new small owner-resident businesses into the area.  These clusters create production complementarities while maximizing coordination of business procedure and development efforts.  Raquel Seed is the Bilingual Outreach Coordinator for a non-profit organization called Tu Casa, and when asked about the Prosperity Strategy she replied, “Networking has never been easier.  Prosperity has opened the doors to other organizations and businesses in the area that we would otherwise be unaware of.”

            The more we can keep internal processes of industry local, the higher amount of injection into the local economy.  For example if a local café uses all locally produced food inputs, is a locally owned-resident business, and has only local employees then the leakage rate is very minimal due to a higher multiplier affect.  Increasing injection into the local economy and decreasing leakage’s are two of the most effective ways to boost economic vitality and represent the heart of the Prosperity Strategy.

Georgiana Matthews, a member of the Prosperity Network representing the Arcata Economic Development Corporation says, “the greatest weakness in the Prosperity Strategy report is keeping the community informed about the Prosperity Network.”  One reason for the difficulty in community involvement is the lack of unity between communities in Humboldt County.  Another reason is getting information back to the communities.  A third difficulty in getting the community involved is maintaining public involvement in the community.             

            The main weaknesses of the Prosperity Strategy’s report are also seen through the nine basic industry clusters – manufacturing, arts, & culture, information & technology, dairy, agriculture, fisheries, education & research, tourism, and lumber & wood products.  One major weakness in the various clusters is isolation.  In the education and research cluster, local professors do not have the extensive local contacts and networks due to isolation.  In the manufacturing cluster, isolation makes Humboldt County a difficult place for manufacturing businesses to operate, outside of the timber industry.  A second major weakness for the various clusters is cost.  The arts and crafts culture’s biggest challenge is finding inexpensive space to do business.  Small-scale industries in the tourism cluster struggle with high insurance costs.  The third major weakness of the Prosperity Strategy is increased regulation.

            There are countless opportunities that can arise from the Prosperity Report.  Because of Humboldt County’s rural beauty, it is a prime location for economic development despite increased regulation and isolation.  When Tim McKay, representing the North Coast Environmental Center, was asked about the significant opportunities of this economic strategy he said, “The strategy allows for an identification of the individual elements of the community that can be enhanced and intertwined where industry clusters are concerned. These clusters are an alternative to focusing on only the large industries such as timber.”  When asked about strategies that are comparable to the Prosperity Strategy Tim McKay suggested the Sierra Business Council Wealth Index.  This is a comparable strategy because of its focus on natural capital as opposed to other industries.

            Another opportunity is capitalizing on the quality of life in this county.  Humboldt County is famous for its earth conscious community based residents.  By creating a strategy that incorporates the environment and the natural capital it provides, it sets a higher standard for neighboring counties to make the environment a higher priority.  The Prosperity Strategy has also introduced sustainability as one of its goals.  The Prosperity is an exciting opportunity to spread Humboldt County’s love for the environment to other states and counties.

            One of the biggest threats to economic prosperity in Humboldt County is the possible collapse one out of the nine base industry clusters.  While it is possible that any industry could suddenly collapse, it is far more likely for some than others; chances are very slim that society at large is going to stop consuming dairy anytime soon.  The one industry that could foreseeably collapse is the timber industry.  Many of the workers in this industry have no skills that are applicable outside of their industry, and an economy of this size simply does not have the capacity to absorb large numbers of workers into unskilled jobs.  The only option to deal with these displaced workers, without having them leave the area, is to retrain them.  Anecdotal evidence has suggested that re-training workers from these industries would simply not be effective.

            The timber industry currently employs more people in Humboldt County than any of the other base industries, and generates 75% of the county’s total manufacturing income.  The timber industry has also previously seen several rounds of mass layoffs when mills have closed.  After these previous rounds of layoffs, some of the displaced workers were able to find lower paying unskilled jobs, but many were forced to leave the area.  It has been stated by members of the timber industry that the lawsuit being filed by the county of Humboldt against Pacific Lumber could financially devastate the industry and cause another round of mass layoffs.  According to environmental activists, most of the logging in the area is happening at an unsustainable rate, thus making the inference that the timber industry will have effectively killed itself within 20 years.  There are other extreme threats to the timber industry, such as the exportation of raw logs, and the importing of lower priced foreign timber.

            This Economic Development Strategy is a step forward for tomorrow’s economy.  Effective local management of economic development requires careful targeting of the limited public funds, leveraging of private resources, and cooperation of different groups in the local labor market area in order to be successful.